EP. 85: Why There Was No Red Wave

The polls predicted a red wave, historical trends suggested a red wave, the economy and current president should have led to a red wave. But all we got this year was a red ripple. After a three-week hiatus, Eric and Jacob dig into some of the specifics of high-profile races and break down the why. Why were Republicans not able to follow through on an easy layup and deliver a blow to Biden's agenda and legacy?

 

00:00 Intro and Thanksgiving Tales

10:04 Twitter Back!!!

13:25 American Voter Geography

19:25 Republicans' Epic Senate Fail

41:58 Recap of the Red House Ripple

42:38 No Red Wave in New England

49:42 The One Northeast State that Had a Red Wave

51:55 Red Wave Dammed Up in the Mid-Atlantic

01:03:44 The South's Mixed Bag

01:15:32 The Western Draw

01:35:30 Discussion and Debate on the Why No Red Wave Materialized

 

SHOWNOTES

Eric’s article summarizing how both parties are wrong about 2022: https://amgreatness.com/2022/11/14/the-last-election/ 

Eric’s interview on The Officer Tatum Show, with Carl Jackson, further explaining what happened in 2022: https://righttakepodcast.com/2022/11/17/erics-interview-on-the-officer-tatum-show-with-carl-jackson/ 

Eric’s interview on Carl Jackson’s podcast, expanding even more on 2022 and what to do in the future: https://righttakepodcast.com/2022/12/01/erics-interview-on-the-carl-jackson-podcast/ 

Five states, including two deep-red states, vote in favor of abortion: https://amgreatness.com/2022/11/09/five-states-vote-in-favor-of-abortion/

Washington Post article tracking the wins and losses of candidates who called out voter fraud in 2020: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/interactive/2022/election-deniers-midterms/ 

CNN exit poll showing Zoomers supported Democrats this year by a 28-point margin: https://twitter.com/dellavolpe/status/1590190476334096386?cxt=HHwWhIDTsYT0vpEsAAAA 

The young vote is being widely credited as the main reason for Democratic victories: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/nov/11/young-voters-us-midterms-democratic-youth 

Young voter turnout was the second-highest for a midterm in the last 30 years: https://www.npr.org/2022/11/10/1135810302/turnout-among-young-voters-was-the-second-highest-for-a-midterm-in-past-30-years 

Joseph Cotto’s take on how demographics are the main reason for the GOP losses this year: https://twitter.com/JosephFordCotto/status/1590216329675837440?t=ssW6AVhwZQ3jyivAkd1N_g&s=19 

A solid Twitter thread on how the GOP must start employing quick and easy fear tactics, like the Democrats, if they’re to maintain any hope of future victories: https://twitter.com/Niggledom/status/1590376901289263104?s=20&t=5OrVS2Gj3OOs69pAH4tuvw 

How turnout should have favored Republicans in 2022: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/08/election-day-midterms-exit-polls-00065768 

New York Post cover story declares DeSantis to be “DeFuture:” https://nypost.com/2022/11/09/ron-desantis-shows-hes-future-of-the-gop/ 

Newt Gingrich is still living in the 90s, thinks the Democrats are socialist—or at least still thinks calling them that is the best way to beat them.

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/3760487-newt-gingrich-gop-must-learn-to-quit-underestimating-biden/

New York Post cover story mocks Trump as “Trumpty Dumpty:” https://nypost.com/2022/11/09/heres-how-donald-trump-sabotaged-the-republican-midterms/ 

Vox chart on how “candidate quality” played a role in many outsider candidates’ defeats: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2022/11/16/23458896/republicans-senate-candidate-quality-trump